Time in the market > timing the market * Early years = outcome depends heavily on timing * Mid-term = probability accel…
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Time in the market > timing the market * Early years = outcome depends heavily on timing * Mid-term = probability accelerates quickly * Long-term = downside risk largely collapses Here’s the scoop: we analyzed quarterly national home price data from the FHFA (All-Transactions House Price Index, USA) going back to 1975. For each holding period (1–50 years), we tested every possible historical “buy quarter” and compared it to the price exactly X years later. A result counted as positive only if…
Tags: Reel
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